North Little Rock, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

744
FXUS64 KLZK 201124
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
624 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 208 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025

CURRENTLY:

As of 2 AM CDT, multiple lines of rain and thunderstorm
activity continue to move from west to east across Arkansas. The
strongest of which is a bowing line that is entering Arkansas from
Oklahoma which will track eastward across the state across a region
that remains conditionally unstable and will impact a large portion
of the state continuing into the early morning hours with
intermittent severe weather opportunities including damaging wind
gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes remain possible within much
of the parameter space across central and southern Arkansas.

TODAY (TUESDAY):

At H500, a closed low will be present over the Mid-West region of
the CONUS and eject through the base of the trof. Strong
southwesterly flow will remain present over the majority of
Arkansas. At the sfc, a cold front will be pushing from west to east
across the state during the day. It is along and ahead of this cold
front as it enters into central Arkansas during the afternoon
timeframe in which re-development of strong to severe thunderstorms
are anticipated to initiate and push eastward into eastern Arkansas
and the Mississippi River into Tennessee and Mississippi late this
evening. The Storm Prediction Center has implemented an Enhanced
Risk (level 3 out of 5) for severe weather across most of the
eastern flank of Arkansas for possible large hail, damaging wind
gusts, and a few tornadoes associated with any re-development of
storms that does materialize across the eastern one-third of the
state.

WEDNESDAY:

At H500, zonal flow will be present over Arkansas and no significant
upper lvl features will be distinguished over the region. At the
sfc, a high pressure center will move in behind the FROPA and
provide us a day of dry and overall fair weather across the Natural
State. A dry cold front will move into northern Arkansas later into
the day on Wednesday, but will not make much progress into the state
as it is progged to become a stationary boundary into Thursday.
Expect Wednesday to be the highest confidence day regarding
statewide dry and fair weather in the wake of the airmass behind the
FROPA.

THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY:

An unsettled pattern will take hold once again at both the upper
lvls and at the sfc. At H500, an elongated ridge will slide eastward
over the state by the weekend. For this period of time,
northwesterly flow with embedded shortwave impulses will be present
over the state. At the sfc, the period will begin with a stationary
front positioned across northern Arkansas. Into the remainder of the
period, a warm front will lift across Arkansas over the weekend and
become a stationary front by later Sunday into Monday. Expect over
this period of time, unsettled weather at times with rain and
isolated thunderstorms. Confidence at the current time for any
severe weather to materialize between Thursday and Monday is low at
this time and signals continue to demonstrate this via prior
forecast packages.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025

The majority of forecast sites will begin in MVFR category for
lowered CIGS, the exception will be northern terminals which should
improve this morning. The central and southern terminals will have
CIGS that will improve later this morning before noon to VFR. The
southeastern terminals of KPBF and KLLQ may take a little more time
into the early afternoon before CIGS improve to VFR, additionally
these sites will experience vicinity rain and thunderstorms at the
beginning of the forecast period and again early this afternoon
which may degrade both CIGS and VSBY at times to IFR flight
category. Later this evening into tonight all sites will improve to
VFR for the remainder of the forecast period through early Wednesday
morning. Surface winds may gust in excess of 25 knots at times from
later this morning through early evening. Expect higher surface wind
gusts in excess of 40 knots in thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     85  58  83  59 /  40   0   0  20
Camden AR         88  57  88  60 /  20   0   0   0
Harrison AR       79  54  80  55 /  20   0   0  20
Hot Springs AR    87  57  87  60 /  20   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  86  60  86  62 /  30   0   0  10
Monticello AR     88  61  89  63 /  40   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      86  57  87  59 /  20   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  82  54  79  55 /  30   0   0  20
Newport AR        86  59  84  60 /  50   0   0  20
Pine Bluff AR     88  59  87  62 /  30   0   0   0
Russellville AR   84  56  86  60 /  20   0   0  10
Searcy AR         86  57  84  59 /  30   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      86  61  85  63 /  40   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74